Churchill Downs Picks

See free picks for all races at Churchill Downs this Thursday, 11/07/2024.

Dirt
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R3
R4
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HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Ethereal Road
3.Ethereal Road
J SweezeyRamon Vazquez
3-1

Anticipating a truly run race so don’t rule out backmarkers. ETHEREAL ROAD back from six week let-up and finished a nose back from the leader last start at Churchill Downs when first up, has solid claims. SHOGUN BE FAST 2 wins from nine attempts this campaign, consider in exotics. BAYOU MAGIC first-up after 14 week break. Winner of last two at Ellis Park and Churchill Downs, for the wider exotics. NOT NORMAL has a lot of early speed, outside hope.

Shogun Be Fast
2.Shogun Be Fast
Panagiotis SynnefiasFernando Jara
9-2
Bayou Magic
5.Bayou Magic
John HillDeclan Cannon
8-1
Not Normal
7.Not Normal
Conor MurphyBrian Jr Hernandez
4-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Trust Daddy
8.Trust Daddy
Steven AsmussenKeith Asmussen
3-1

Backmarkers should get their chance in a good speed race. TRUST DADDY looking for a hatrick after winning two in a row at Keeneland and Del Mar, hard to go past. ZECA DIABO has genuine early speed and won once this prep at Churchill Downs two runs back, the real danger in the race. LINE OF SCRIMMAGE won last start to break maiden at Keeneland and drawn the rails, dangerous. AIRBORNE ELITE resumes from a long 50 week spell and has genuine early speed, could threaten.

Zeca Diabo
4.Zeca Diabo
Eduardo CaramoriLuan Machado
8-1
Line Of Scrimmage
1.Line Of Scrimmage
Joe SharpBrian Jr Hernandez
7-2
Airborne Elite
3.Airborne Elite
Eric ReedRafael Bejarano
20-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Magnetic Beach
8.Magnetic Beach
J EnnisEdgar Morales
6-1

Looks likely to be hot speed early. MAGNETIC BEACH only just missed at only start, finishing a nose back from the winner at Keeneland, commands respect. GREENWICH PIKE finished a nose back from the leader last start at Keeneland when fresh, dangerous. BLUSHING KAM let-up and only just missed at only start, finishing a nose back from the winner at Churchill Downs, cannot be ruled out. CATNIP HILL ran 30 lengths back from the winner last start at Keeneland, not without each-way claims.

Greenwich Pike
2.Greenwich Pike
Ben ColebrookLuan Machado
15-1
Blushing Kam
7.Blushing Kam
J DesormeauxJames Graham
10-1
Catnip Hill
5.Catnip Hill
Ian WilkesDeclan Cannon
12-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Blackfoot Daisy
5.Blackfoot Daisy
Wesley WardWalter Rodriguez
4-1

Expecting this to be run at a genuine clip. BLACKFOOT DAISY let-up for 10 weeks, a winning chance. SWEET TROUBLE finished a nose back from the leader at only start at Churchill Downs, in with a chance. TITANIA'S DREAM first-up after 80 week spell and ran seven lengths back from the winner at only start at Keeneland, sneaky chance. FLAT STORMIN only just missed at only start, finishing a nose back from the winner at Churchill Downs, cannot be ruled out.

Sweet Trouble
4.Sweet Trouble
Philip D AmatoMartin Garcia
7-2
Titania's Dream
1.Titania's Dream
Anna MeahLuis Saez
6-1
Flat Stormin
3.Flat Stormin
Matt ShirerJaime Torres
12-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Benedetta
1.Benedetta
Steven AsmussenJose Ortiz
2-1

Genuine speed engaged in this one. BENEDETTA back from let-up and two wins from five attempts this campaign, a winning chance. TRIAL first-up after 18 week spell and winner when on debut at Churchill Downs, for the exotics. TANYA SHOWERS first-up after 22 week spell and placed at Keeneland on debut, for the wider exotics. THE BIG CALHOUNA 2 wins from 12 attempts this campaign and has a lot of early speed, outside hope.

Trial
5.Trial
Jr Thomas Drury,Brian Jr Hernandez
12-1
Tanya Showers
3.Tanya Showers
Chris HartmanRafael Bejarano
7-2
The Big Calhouna
2.The Big Calhouna
J SweezeyFlorent Geroux
15-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Ramesses
5.Ramesses
Thomas AmossEdgar Morales
3-1

Backmarkers should get their chance in a good speed race. RAMESSES back from 11 week let-up and looks the leader, well placed. OPERATORE PAZZO back from long 51 week spell and ran 22 lengths back from the winner at only start at Horseshoe Indianapolis, could upset. ROSENOW let-up for six weeks and only just missed at only start, finishing a nose back from the winner at Churchill Downs, in with a chance. TRAP LINE back from six week let-up and looks the leader, each-way claims.

Operatore Pazzo
8.Operatore Pazzo
Matt FrazierIrving Moncada
20-1
Rosenow
1.Rosenow
Eric HeitzmannJoseph Rocco Jr
12-1
Trap Line
2.Trap Line
Brittany VandenReylu Gutierrez
4-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Mascara
4.Mascara
Wesley WardGerardo Corrales
9-2

Genuine speed engaged in this one. MASCARA resumes from a 14 week spell and at only start winner at Saratoga, marginal top pick. KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW a winner at first outing this prep and only just missed last start, finishing a nose back from the winner at Churchill Downs, hard to hold out. MEAN EILEEN has a lot of early speed and won once this prep at Kentucky Downs three runs back, could threaten. ROSATO has genuine early speed and a winner at first outing this prep, not without each-way claims.

Kentucky Smokeshow
5.Kentucky Smokeshow
Chris HartmanRafael Bejarano
7-2
Mean Eileen
6.Mean Eileen
Joe SharpBrian Jr Hernandez
5-2
Rosato
2.Rosato
J EnnisIrving Moncada
10-1
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Ben Franklin
5.Ben Franklin
Kenneth McPeekBrian Jr Hernandez
10-1

Looks a toss up between the top two selections. BEN FRANKLIN capable of racing on speed and has got off to a poor start this campaign but should improve with fitness, should go well. LAMBETH let-up and looks the leader, hard to hold out. LUGAN KNIGHT has a lot of early speed and won once this prep at Churchill Downs three runs back, could threaten. LIBERAL ARTS resumes from a 31 week spell and generally strong first-up placing at Oaklawn Park last attempt, don't treat lightly.

Lambeth
2.Lambeth
Joe SharpJose Ortiz
6-1
Lugan Knight
4.Lugan Knight
Michael McCarthyJaime Torres
12-1
Liberal Arts
9.Liberal Arts
B CoxLuis Saez
5-2
HorseTrainerJockeyOddsAnalysis
Dia Estelar
9.Dia Estelar
Kenneth McPeekBrian Jr Hernandez
5-2

Can’t imagine one of the top two not winning. DIA ESTELAR placed when fresh and finished sixth last start at Keeneland, should go well. PINK MOON resumes from a spell of 44 weeks and ran 11th at only start at Turfway Park, must be considered. BELLA ESTRELA back from let-up and capable of racing on speed, not without each-way claims. CLASSIC MYSTERY has genuine early speed and placed twice at Churchill Downs but been unable to get a win, looks threatening.

Pink Moon
2.Pink Moon
Anna NavarreteIrving Moncada
15-1
Bella Estrela
3.Bella Estrela
Kathleen WadsworthReylu Gutierrez
12-1
Classic Mystery
8.Classic Mystery
Jr Thomas Drury,Edgar Morales
5-1

Today's Churchill Downs Picks

For all USA and international race entries today, Fan Odds provides:

  • The top 4 picks for every race
  • A short analysis for every race